In a year that has included impeachment, a global pandemic, economic turmoil and a reckoning on race, the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg crystallizes the choice in November as perhaps none of the other issues can. … Ginsburg’s death changes the calculus for the campaign between President […] Read more »
Will white women without college degrees torpedo President Trump’s reelection?
Four years ago, white women without college degrees stood shoulder to shoulder with white non-college men even though it was the first time in history that a woman candidate for president headed a major party ticket. This year, however, they are breaking ranks. If Donald Trump loses the 2020 election, […] Read more »
2020 Has Quietly Become Another ‘Year of the Woman’
The entire House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate are up for election every two years. But congressional elections tend to lead the news only every other cycle, when there isn’t a concurrent presidential contest. James Madison may have believed that the “legislative authority necessarily predominates” over the executive, […] Read more »
Voters’ Attitudes About Race and Gender Are Even More Divided Than in 2016
During the 2016 presidential campaign, supporters of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton disagreed over nearly everything, including the extent to which Black adults in this country are disadvantaged because of their race and women because of their gender. Today, these differences are even wider among voters who support Trump and […] Read more »
Is Kenosha a Warning for the Biden Campaign?
On Wednesday night I remotely conducted two focus groups, one in North Carolina and one in Arizona. The demographics of the groups were the same. Both consisted of 2016 Trump voters. Both were composed of six white, college-educated women (those prized suburban women you hear so much about). And both […] Read more »
Can the Republican Convention turn things around for Trump?
As the Republican National Convention opens this week, President Donald Trump is in a tough position. … There isn’t much doubt that if the election were held today Trump would lose and might well take down the Republican Senate with him. So, all eyes will be on the Republicans’ convention […] Read more »