Notes on the State of Politics

Key Points •  The Democratic primary race has been very stable, with the biggest exception being Elizabeth Warren’s rise to become one of the clear frontrunners. •  Donald Trump is attracting primary challengers, but his standing within the GOP remains strong. •  Sen. Johnny Isakson’s (R-GA) pending resignation expands the […] Read more »

The Big Six Swing States in 2020

There are six states that will be key to winning the 2020 presidential election if it is at all close. Whoever wins most of them will in all likelihood win the presidency. The six are Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Donald Trump won Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and […] Read more »

Did Russian Interference Affect the 2016 Election Results?

Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s recent testimony before the House Judiciary and Intelligence Committees, and the Mueller Report itself, make it very clear that the Russian government made a major effort to help Donald Trump win the 2016 U.S. presidential election. What the Mueller Report did not determine, however, was whether […] Read more »

Suburban women recoil as Trump dives into racial politics

Carol Evans approves of Donald Trump’s immigration policy. … “I just don’t like the way he talks about other people,” Evans, a 79-year-old retired data entry supervisor, said recently as she walked through a shopping mall in Brookfield, Wisconsin, days after Trump fired off a racist tweet at Democratic congresswomen. […] Read more »

In 2020, Midwest turnout will be key to Democrats’ fortunes

This week the Democratic presidential hopefuls will meet in Detroit for their second set of debates. Next summer the party will hold its nominating convention in Milwaukee. And this spring Democratic front-runner Joe Biden officially kicked off his campaign in Philadelphia. Notice a pattern? Early indications are that the 2020 […] Read more »