Donald Trump’s enduring appeal in the Republican presidential contest has the GOP in a quandary, as it’s forced to contend with voters fed up with party politics. Some 50 years ago, another vociferous candidate put the scare in traditional power brokers. George Wallace fired up crowds with a similar anti-establishment […] Read more »
To the Sanders Campaign, Some Voters Do Seem to Be More Equal Than Others
To those of us who made our bones in the Democratic politics of the 1980s and the 1990s, the arguments between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton about the future of the Democratic Party and the mechanics of winning general elections sound familiar, with one camp obsessed with white swing voters, […] Read more »
These two maps are incredibly revealing about who’s voting for Trump, and why
In a detailed analysis of the geography of Donald Trump’s vote, Neil Irwin and Josh Katz of the New York Times recently wrote that geographic pockets of unhyphenated Americans — whites who define their ancestry to be “American” rather than a specific European heritage — “turn out to be the […] Read more »
Racial split defines Md.’s hotly contested Democratic Senate primary
Maryland’s Democratic Senate race remains very much up for grabs three weeks before the primary, with voters sharply divided along racial lines, according to a new poll from The Washington Post and the University of Maryland. … Among all likely Democratic primary voters, Edwards leads Van Hollen by a statistically […] Read more »
Edging toward an earthquake
Democracy Corps’ new poll on behalf of WVWVAF shows the country edging toward an earthquake in November. Hillary Clinton already holds a 13-point margin against Donald Trump and a 6-point lead over Ted Cruz, just a point short of Obama’s margin in 2008. But seven new findings in this survey […] Read more »
Debunking the myth that poor whites vote against their interests for Republicans
Are poor whites less likely to vote correctly in presidential elections? Their voting behavior is routinely the source of consternation in American politics, as many suspect poor whites are mistakenly voting for right-wing demagogues and on conservative social issues. Our recent research uses a ‘voting correctly’ measure to better adjudicate […] Read more »