… While Trump is outperforming your run-of-the-mill Republican among whites without a college degree, he’s underperforming among white voters with a college degree. In fact, he is on a track to lose white college graduates. That’s really unusual for a Republican, and it means that among white voters overall, he’s […] Read more »
The Biggest Danger for Donald Trump: Florida
If demographics are destiny, Donald Trump’s political fate could very well be sealed in Florida. The big demographic threat to the Republican Party isn’t a “blue” Texas or Arizona or Georgia, but the possibility that Florida will follow Nevada and New Mexico to the left. It’s extremely hard for a […] Read more »
Bill Clinton, O.J. Simpson, Clarence Thomas, and the Politics of 1990s Racial Backlash
The 1990s are being relitigated, and for the most part, coming off rather badly. It has taken place in the realm of politics, where Hillary Clinton has had to edge away from some of her husband’s policies, some of which have provoked angry confrontations on the campaign trail between the […] Read more »
How Trump’s Campaign Could Redraw Voter Allegiances
For decades, Republicans argued for lower taxes, fewer regulations and a smaller welfare state. Democrats took up the opposite view, and voters split along familiar lines. Whatever you think of Donald Trump, it is clear that this election has the potential to reshape the allegiances of many white working-class voters […] Read more »
On Views of Race and Inequality, Blacks and Whites Are Worlds Apart
Almost eight years after Barack Obama’s election as the nation’s first black president – an event that engendered a sense of optimism among many Americans about the future of race relations – a series of flashpoints around the U.S. has exposed deep racial divides and reignited a national conversation about […] Read more »
A big chunk of Donald Trump’s supporters were just waiting for a candidate like him
One of the questions worth asking about the rise of Donald Trump in American politics is the extent to which he took advantage of a latent frustration over immigration — or whether he’s driving new hostility among people who hadn’t paid much attention to politics in the past. In other […] Read more »