In 2016, race and identity has emerged as the central dividing line in American politics. Though race has always lived close to the surface of politics in the US, it has rarely been so explicitly front and center in political campaigns. So how did this happen? The easy answer is […] Read more »
Trump’s New Minority Outreach Carries Hidden Agenda, Strategists Say
Donald Trump is testing a novel way to fix a problem that no modern Republican presidential nominee has had. His quest this week to reach out to black and Hispanic voters has a covert agenda, Republican strategists say, of winning back college-educated whites who historically prefer Republicans but seem to […] Read more »
The Downwardly Mobile for Trump
… The 2014 General Social Survey, conducted by the research organization NORC at the University of Chicago, asked a national sample of adults whether their standard of living was better, the same or worse than that of their parents. … Let’s call non-college-educated whites who said they were doing worse […] Read more »
Why Values Voters Value Donald Trump
As the number of Republican politicians and conservative pundits who renounce Donald J. Trump continues to rise, one important contingent remains steadfast in its support: conservative white evangelicals. … Conservative evangelicals are fully aware of Mr. Trump’s flaws, but they are supporting him anyway because they believe his election is […] Read more »
Understanding the Trump Voter
Yes, Donald Trump has fallen behind in the national polls. All of them. But here’s a number you don’t hear enough: 41 percent of voters are still supporting him. Four out of every 10 people. Who are they, exactly? In the latest episode of The Run-Up, we spoke with a […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s Crucial Pillar of Support, White Men, Shows Weakness
Donald J. Trump’s support among white men, the linchpin of his presidential campaign, is showing surprising signs of weakness that could foreclose his only remaining path to victory in November. If not reversed, the trend could materialize into one of the most unanticipated developments of the 2016 presidential campaign: That […] Read more »