After five of six presidential elections in which the Republicans have lost the popular vote, this year’s midterm elections point toward a plausible Republican path to winning the White House. .. But the Republican path is also narrow, one the Democrats could block if they reassemble their support among the […] Read more »
Hispanic Voters in the 2014 Election
Democrats maintained a large edge among Latinos voting in Tuesday’s midterm elections, but in some states, Republican candidates won more than 40% of the Latino vote, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of National Election Pool exit poll data as reported by NBC News. Though Democrats comfortably won the […] Read more »
How the Midterms’ Turnout Games Turned Out
Down the stretch in the 2014 campaign, when the polls began to slide toward Republican candidates in key states, Democrats defiantly countered that they would ultimately be vindicated by their superior turnout effort. Not this year, said Republicans, who countered that their own turnout machine was growing more powerful and […] Read more »
Independents didn’t decide the midterm election
Who won Tuesday’s election? Well, the Republicans for one. But, if you listen to the pundits and pollsters, it was really a victory for independents. … Why did these alleged swing voters swing right? It is because independents who voted for Republicans were simply Republicans all along. The election was […] Read more »
The Democrats’ Southern Problem Reaches a New Depth
… The inability of Southern Democrats to run well ahead of a deeply unpopular Mr. Obama raises questions about how an increasingly urban and culturally liberal national Democratic Party can compete in the staunchly conservative South. It raises serious doubts about whether a future Democratic presidential candidate, like Hillary Clinton, […] Read more »
No, That’s Not the Message Voters Sent Yesterday
… So, what are we to make of these results? To begin, it’s important to resist the inevitable tendency for pundits to overreach in their effort to discern “the message” the voters send yesterday. Already I am reading that the results indicate 1) a rejection of Obama, 2) a rejection […] Read more »