… In the early contests, Mr. Trump attracted less than 50 percent of the vote (in Arkansas he got only 33 percent); a majority of voters rejected him. But he faced more than one opponent every time, so that the non-Trump vote was split. That implies he could well have […] Read more »
This research shows that vice presidential candidates actually do win votes in their home states
Although the Democratic and Republican primaries aren’t over, the question of who the presidential nominees will select as running mates is already receiving considerable attention. One key question is whether vice presidential nominees actually help the ticket win voters in the nominees’ home states. And if so, is this advantage […] Read more »
Voters Stung by Chinese Import Competition Turned to Democrats, Economists Say
Voters looking to blunt Chinese import competition turn to Democrats, a team of economists found, because they want politicians who vote to restrict trade. In counties most exposed to Chinese imports, the economists found, voter turnout increased, as did the votes for Democratic House members or candidates. CONT. Bob Davis, […] Read more »
Higher Voter Turnout Alone Is Unlikely to Change the Outcome of the 2016 Presidential Election
As politicians, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders could hardly be more different. … Despite their differences, however, Cruz and Sanders have one thing in common — their electoral strategies rely heavily on dramatically expanding the American electorate. … And Sanders and Cruz aren’t the only presidential candidates banking on increased voter […] Read more »
Debunking the myth that poor whites vote against their interests for Republicans
Are poor whites less likely to vote correctly in presidential elections? Their voting behavior is routinely the source of consternation in American politics, as many suspect poor whites are mistakenly voting for right-wing demagogues and on conservative social issues. Our recent research uses a ‘voting correctly’ measure to better adjudicate […] Read more »
Trump and Clinton Supporters Lead in Enthusiasm
As the 2016 primaries continue, with neither party’s nominee yet decided, Gallup finds sharp differences in the enthusiasm expressed by supporters of the various candidates. Among Republicans and Republican leaners, voters who support Donald Trump are the most enthusiastic by far, with a combined 65% describing themselves as extremely or […] Read more »