… In this piece, I hope to outline the couple of significant choices I’ve made in my House model that stand in contrast to other sites and election handicappers, and show a behind-the-curtain peek at some opportunities to improve the way we judge a race. CONT. Noah Rudnick, Sabato’s Crystal […] Read more »
Bright Line Watch Report on American Democracy
In April 2018, Bright Line Watch conducted its fifth expert survey, and its third public survey, on democracy in the United States. Between April 9 and 22, we surveyed an expert sample of 935 political science faculty at American universities and a nationally representative sample of 2,000 adults. Respondents in […] Read more »
Many Election Day Lines Shorter in 2016, But Some Long Waits Remain
Fewer Americans waited in long lines to vote during 2016’s presidential election compared with 2012, but a significant number of polling places still experienced average wait times over 30 minutes, according to a new Bipartisan Policy Center report published today. BPC and the CalTech/MIT Voting Technology Project conducted the largest-ever […] Read more »
The Public, the Political System and American Democracy
At a time of growing stress on democracy around the world, Americans generally agree on democratic ideals and values that are important for the United States. But for the most part, they see the country falling well short in living up to these ideals, according to a new study of […] Read more »
Why the win for Republicans in Arizona 8 is still good for Democrats
CNN has projected that Republicans won the special election in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, but once again Democrats have overperformed in a deep red district, in another sign the national environment is in the their favor. … The result in Arizona 8 fits a pattern so far in special congressional […] Read more »
Another Special Election, Another Really Bad Sign For The GOP
One might describe Arizona’s 8th Congressional District as … nondescript. … Nor was there anything especially unusual about the candidates who competed in the special election there on Tuesday — Republican Debbie Lesko, a state senator, and Democrat Hiral Tipirneni, a doctor. And although the Republican, Lesko, is the apparent […] Read more »