The polling miss that defines 2018 might not be the one from 2016. It may be the one from 2017.

… In 2016, one of the problems in state polls was that Trump voters turned out more heavily than many pollsters expected. In 2017, one of the problems with the polls in Virginia was that Democrats turned out more heavily than many pollsters expected. Those Democrats elected not only Northam […] Read more »

Virginia’s 10th CD: Wexton has edge over Rep. Comstock, with little ticket-splitting, poll finds

Rep. Barbara Comstock (R) trails Democrat Jennifer Wexton and has only slightly more support than the polarizing Republican Senate candidate Corey Stewart, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll. … Wexton holds an 11-point lead over Comstock in the Post-Schar School poll of likely voters in Virginia’s 10th Congressional […] Read more »

There are absolutely two Americas. Sometimes in the same state.

A tale of two Virginia districts explains why the geographic, demographic and cultural chasm between the parties in the House of Representatives is about to grow much wider — with ominous implications for America’s escalating political tensions. In the affluent, diverse, 10th Congressional District of Virginia in the Washington suburbs, […] Read more »

In Both Parties, Primary Voters Have Trump On Their Minds

… One might expect that the population of wealthy, well-educated, professional, politically-connected Republicans who reside within the Washington suburbs would render northern Virginia about as promising a place as anywhere in the country to find a GOP electorate that was relatively skeptical of Trump and Trumpism. But there’s little trace […] Read more »