Key Points• The U.S. Census Bureau recently reported changes in population from 2020 to 2021.• While the headline findings mainly dealt with population declines, a number of places (particularly in the Sun Belt) are still experiencing substantial growth.• A little more than 5 dozen counties with at least 100,000 residents […] Read more »
Democrats’ problem with Hispanic voters isn’t going away as GOP gains seem to be solidifying
The Democratic Party’s early 2000s dream of an emerging majority based on a diversifying electorate has run into reality. Democrats lost the 2016 presidential election, and they barely won in 2020. Part of their problem was declining support among White voters. But the 2020 election also pointed to another problem: […] Read more »
How Immigration Politics Drives Some Hispanic Voters to the G.O.P. in Texas
… Donald J. Trump’s brand of populism has been widely viewed as an appeal to white voters: Republicans around the country continue to exploit the fear that the left is attacking religious values and wants to replace traditional white American culture with nonwhite multiculturalism. But similar grievances have resonated in […] Read more »
How restrictions on teaching about race and sexual orientation have ‘hijacked’ parents’ concerns about Covid
The pressures of the coronavirus pandemic are reconfiguring the politics of education, dividing Democrats and creating new openings for Republicans. Both sides of that equation will be on display Tuesday in a recall election for three school board members in San Francisco, one of the nation’s most liberal cities. The […] Read more »
UT/Texas Politics Project Poll: Abbott Holds 10-Point Lead Over O’Rourke; Inflation Hitting Texans
Incumbent Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke appear poised to receive their respective party’s nominations in the March 1 Texas primary elections, according to a new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll. Abbott leads O’Rourke 47% to 37% in the likely though still hypothetical matchup for […] Read more »
2020 Post-Mortem (Part Two): The American Dream Voter
Today Equis is releasing Part Two of a post-mortem on the Latino vote in the 2020 election. … In Part One, we attempted to document the nature and composition of the gains that Donald Trump made with a small subset of Hispanic voters. In the sequel, we use new research, […] Read more »