Why the Soothsayers Are So Puzzled by This Year’s Midterms

Doug Sosnik is the kind of political analyst who likes to figure out the results of the next election well in advance — it’s just how he’s wired. But even Sosnik, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton who now tries to forecast elections as a hobby, is stumped about […] Read more »

Dems Gain Slightly in Congress Support

The latest Monmouth University Poll finds the Democrats making small gains in preference for Congressional control and the year-long slide in President Joe Biden’s job rating appears to have stabilized. The economy remains a driving force in the midterm elections, but it is not the only issue of importance. Democrats […] Read more »

New York State: Gov. Hochul Holds Early 14-Point, 53-39%, Lead Over Zeldin

Three months until election day, Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a 14-point lead over Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin, 53-39%. Democratic US Senator Chuck Schumer holds a 21-point lead over Republican Joe Pinion, 56-35%, as does Democratic State Comptroller Tom DiNapoli, who leads Republican Paul Rodriguez 51-30%. Democratic Attorney General Letitia […] Read more »

USA Today/Suffolk University Poll: 100 days before the midterms, Americans aren’t happy about their options

Key Points• Democrats lead the congressional ballot 44%-40%, better than an even split in June.• Across every demographic group, most Americans say the country is on the wrong track.• Top issues? Only the economy, abortion and inflation cited by double digits.• At stake in November is the power to pass […] Read more »

Many red-state Trump voters say they’d be ‘better off’ if their state seceded from U.S.

Red-state Donald Trump voters are now more likely to say they’d be personally “better off” (33%) than “worse off” (29%) if their state seceded from the U.S. and “became an independent country,” according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll. It’s a striking rejection of national unity that dramatizes the growing […] Read more »