Public opinion surveys show that a majority of adults — and a growing one — now supports same-sex marriage. But the rapid change in public opinion may obscure another fact: Large areas of the country remain overwhelmingly opposed to same-sex marriage, with little sign of change. CONT. Nate Cohn, New […] Read more »
The States That Will Pick the President: The Sunbelt
The emergence of three rapidly growing Sunbelt states as pivotal swing contests in presidential elections may be one of the most unexpected developments in recent American politics. … If Republicans can’t hold North Carolina (with 15 Electoral College votes) and recapture at least Florida (with 29 EC votes), if not […] Read more »
A reminder of the lasting power of racial politics in America
The year 2014 will be remembered politically for many things, among them the Republican Party’s impressive victories in the midterm elections. But as much as anything, the year was a reminder of the depth of racial divisions and the continuing existence of racial politics in America. CONT. Dan Balz, Washington […] Read more »
Steve Scalise distances himself from racially charged politics of the Deep South
Steve Scalise was a budding Louisiana state lawmaker eager to ascend the Republican ranks when he quickly accepted an offer to address a white-supremacist organization 12 years ago. … This week’s revelation that Scalise, now the third-ranking Republican in the U.S. House, spoke at a convention of the European-American Unity […] Read more »
Clinton’s performance among white voters is very opponent-specific
The decline in support for Democrats in the South and among white (mostly working-class) voters has been well-documented. We’ve documented it ourselves: Here’s the South turning red; here’s non-college-graduate whites moving right. Ever since she declared that she might declare for president, there has been speculation that Hillary Clinton (D) […] Read more »
Politicians Can’t Ignore Their Opponents’ Perspective
… Bouncing back from the past six years will be challenging for Democrats. While Republicans have some profound demographic problems that will make presidential races and Senate contests in certain states more challenging than they would like, Democrats now have virtual no-fly zones in some parts of the country; the […] Read more »