Educated white women were already recoiling from Trump. Then came Kavanaugh.

Even before Christine Blasey Ford delivered her controlled but explosive testimony to the Senate Judiciary Committee last week, college-educated white women like her represented a rising threat to Republican prospects in the November election. But Ford’s detailed allegations of sexual assault against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh could allow Democrats […] Read more »

There’s a suburban tsunami driving 2018

Converging crises are compounding the risk that Republicans could suffer historic 2018 losses in suburban communities that could harden a starkly polarized alignment in American politics. Precisely as sexual abuse allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh threaten to deepen the GOP’s already cavernous deficit with well-educated white women, the […] Read more »

Can the Democrats Rise Above?

As the Democratic electorate has bifurcated along economic and racial lines, intraparty tension is rising. One manifestation of this tension is the eruption of competition over access to high performance magnet schools in heavily Democratic metropolitan areas like Washington and New York. … Virtually every prospective Democratic presidential candidate has […] Read more »

What Liberal Organizers Are Seeing on the Ground in 2018

The focus groups that provide the most revealing reactions to Donald Trump’s tumultuous presidency may be the thousands of front-door conversations held every month around the country by canvassers for the liberal organizing group Working America. Those encounters suggest Democrats could reap big gains in 2018—but are still facing big […] Read more »