Now that the first two contests for the Democratic nomination are over, it’s time to take stock of where the race is and where it might be going. The two Nevada surveys conducted within the past week give Sen. Bernie Sanders an average of 30 percent support, and a 14-point […] Read more »
The Narrow But Real Window for a Joe Biden Comeback
Considering how Joe Biden collapsed from front-runner status to a disappointing fourth-place finish in Iowa and a fifth-place finish in New Hampshire, he does not appear to be a safe bet for a comeback. But here and there, you can see signs that Biden might be an undervalued stock. CONT. […] Read more »
The Democratic nomination contest doesn’t look like any from the past
Halfway through the early state primaries and caucuses, Democrats are no closer to clarifying their nominating contest than they were at the turn of the new year. In the coming two contests — Nevada’s caucuses next Saturday and South Carolina’s primary on Feb. 29 — the “winners” from Iowa and […] Read more »
Biden Needs Black Voters to Lift His Campaign. But He Has Competition.
… The ability to mobilize black support in South Carolina, which holds its primary on Feb. 29, and across the South has long been the foundation of Mr. Biden’s candidacy — a presumed advantage that would highlight his capacity to forge a diverse coalition to take down President Trump. Yet […] Read more »
The Moderate Pileup, and the Sanders Path to the Nomination
The results of the Iowa and New Hampshire contests amount to a strategic victory for Bernie Sanders, fracturing his opposition and opening a path for him to win the nomination. But the results do not leave him in a dominant position. His support in national polls remains in the low-to-mid […] Read more »
New Hampshire Primary Review: Bernie’s Biggest Win Wasn’t His First-Place Finish
Bernie Sanders’s performance in Tuesday night’s New Hampshire primary isn’t likely to impress the news media much. Sanders won New Hampshire for the second straight election, but he received less than half of his 2016 vote share (26 percent, as of this writing, compared to 60 percent last time) and […] Read more »