Who Won The South Carolina Democratic Debate?

Seven candidates participated in Tuesday’s debate, hosted by CBS News in Charleston, South Carolina. With the state’s primary looming this Saturday, the stakes were high, and we once again partnered with Ipsos to track how the debate affected likely primary voters’ feelings about the candidates. CONT. FiveThirtyEight Read more »

Biden lost his ‘electable’ claim. That’s why black votes are up for grabs again.

… The lesson to take from what we know about why black voting is steadfastly Democratic in general elections, and to apply to the primaries, is that candidates seeking to consolidate bloc-like support from black voters have a twofold job. First, without party identification as a shortcut for political decision-making, […] Read more »

CBS News/YouGov poll: In South Carolina, Biden’s lead narrows, with Sanders and Steyer on his heels

The contest in South Carolina looks very different heading into its final week than it did last fall. Joe Biden (28%) has only a single-digit lead with Bernie Sanders (23%) now right behind him. The race has narrowed considerably since the fall, when Biden led the field by a whopping […] Read more »

Las Vegas Debate Doesn’t Change Sanders’ Status as Democratic Frontrunner

Democratic voters have told us for months that beating President Trump is the most important issue for them in choosing a nominee. The best way for a candidate to show that they are a winner is by winning. And, Bernie Sanders has been winning. … All eyes are on Nevada […] Read more »