Former President Donald Trump won the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary by 10 points and could be primed to crush those results in 2024. A new Fox Business poll on the GOP nomination race shows Trump with a 34-point lead in the Palmetto State, as over half believe he’s the […] Read more »
Meet the Republicans Who Are Facing Down the Hard Right
… On Tuesday, McCarthy won House approval, in a party-line, 221 to 211, vote, to create a Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government, with Jim Jordan, one of the most outspoken supporters of Trump and the MAGA movement in Congress, as its chairman. It’s possible, although not […] Read more »
Why Republican voter restrictions are a race against time
With their drive to erect new obstacles to voting, particularly across the Sun Belt, Republicans are stacking sandbags against a rising tide of demographic change. In many of the states where Republicans are advancing the most severe restrictions — including Georgia, Arizona and Texas — shifts in the electorate’s composition […] Read more »
Coalition Shifts in Senate Races: SC, KY, IL
Key Points• The reelection victories of three long-serving senators illustrate some of the nation’s political shifts.• Despite a well-funded Democratic challenge, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) held on in large part because of the lack of ticket splitting in his red state.• As of this election, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell […] Read more »
Tight races in Georgia and North Carolina, while Supreme Court is another factor
Voters say the Supreme Court vacancy has added to the already high stakes of the presidential election. In the battlegrounds of Georgia and North Carolina, most say it makes the election feel even more important — it’s one more factor in an election in which most voters from both parties […] Read more »
Rating Changes: Maine Senate Moves to Leans Democratic
Key Points• The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg introduces an explosive new issue into the 2020 contests, although it may not fundamentally alter the race.• Based on trends in public polling, and with a potential assist from Maine’s ranked-choice voting system, we’re moving that state’s critical Senate […] Read more »