If the debate in South Carolina two weeks ago represented the Republican primary in microcosm, this one was like a randomized control trial: What would the GOP primary look like without Donald Trump? CONT. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Focus Group Reveals Their Big Winner of Tonight’s GOP Debate
According to a focus group of Iowa Republican voters, Marco Rubio was the big winner of tonight’s Fox News-Google GOP debate. The participants nearly unanimously agreed that the most powerful and impactful moment of the debate was when Rubio answered Megyn Kelly’s tough question on illegal immigration and amnesty. CONT. […] Read more »
Faith and the 2016 Campaign
The conventional wisdom in American politics has long been that someone who is not religious cannot be elected president of the United States. Most Americans have consistently said that it is important to them that the president have strong religious beliefs. And a new Pew Research Center survey finds that […] Read more »
Clinton Seen as Winner in November; A Trump Presidency Inspires Anxiety
Most Americans expect that Hillary Clinton would prevail against her leading GOP opponent in November, while Bernie Sanders’ chances are rated less well. The thought of Donald Trump as president inspires high levels of public anxiety. CONT. Chad Kiewiet de Jonge, ABC News Read more »
It’s Rubio Or Bust For Republicans Who Want To Win
… There are a lot of complex analyses of the 2016 election floating around. My own theory is quite straightforward: If Hillary Clinton is the nominee — and she remains a heavy favorite over Bernie Sanders — her fate largely rests with Republican voters’ decisions over the next few months. […] Read more »
Trump Strong in Three Early States as Clinton and Sanders Battle
With just four days to go until the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Ted Cruz with a seven-point lead among likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers, while Hillary Clinton remains just three points in front of Bernie Sanders on the Democratic side, according to a trio of new NBC […] Read more »