Ron DeSantis is expected to enter the 2024 presidential race this week. But the Florida governor begins his campaign to win the GOP nomination with his poll numbers flailing and with former President Donald Trump as the clear primary front-runner. Still, DeSantis remains by far the best hope for anti-Trump […] Read more »
What GOP Voters Have Told Me Since Trump’s Indictment
Donald Trump is the clear GOP front-runner for 2024. This isn’t news—he has dominated most polling since the day Joe Biden was sworn in. Despite leading the GOP to a historically bad midterm, being saddled with a dismal 25 percent approval rating, and becoming the first former president to be […] Read more »
Biden faces broad negative ratings at start of campaign, Post-ABC poll finds
As he begins his campaign for reelection, President Biden faces substantial and multiple challenges, according to a Washington Post-ABC News survey. His overall approval ratings have slipped to a new low, more Americans than not doubt his mental acuity, and his support against leading Republican challengers is far shakier than […] Read more »
Broad doubts about Biden’s age and acuity spell Republican opportunity in 2024
President Joe Biden’s job approval rating hit a career low in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll and a broad 68% of Americans say he’s too old for another term as president — views that put him in a trailing position against top Republicans in early preferences for 2024. Just […] Read more »
Can Biden Win Over the ‘Meh’ Voters Again in 2024?
For the first time in memory, low approval ratings of a sitting president didn’t cause a disaster for his party in a midterm election. Many Democratic candidates in 2022 succeeded in winning over voters who “somewhat” disapproved of Biden — a group I dubbed last fall as the ‘meh’ voters. […] Read more »
CBS News poll on how 2024 GOP presidential primary race could be Donald Trump v. Trump fatigue
To the extent the Republican primary is a contest at all right now, it looks like it’s one between Donald Trump and a sentiment one might call “Trump fatigue.” And Trump is winning that matchup easily. Here’s why: MAGA-sounding ideas are widely held in the Republican electorate, an environment that […] Read more »