… In Charlotte … Mr. Obama demonstrated that perhaps he could win a referendum election after all. And in Denver, Mr. Romney showed that he would have a fighting chance even if voters saw the election as a clash of personalities. So what does this mean for the final debate, […] Read more »
Post-ABC poll: Romney now rivals Obama on dealing with int’l affairs, terrorism
President Obama and Mitt Romney head into the final debate still deadlocked among likely voters nationally: 49 percent side with the Democratic president, 48 percent with the Republican challenger, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. But Romney now rivals Obama when it comes to dealing with international affairs […] Read more »
Obama regains lead in the race: The best closing argument
The latest national likely voter survey for Democracy Corps has Obama back to his 49 to 46 percent lead, with 2 percent volunteering a third party candidate. There are only 3 percent undecided. While nearly all the other polls show a closer race, we have a lot of confidence in […] Read more »
Debate Ahead, Romney Gains on Int’l Affairs – But Continues to Lag on Economic Priorities
Mitt Romney carries newfound competitiveness in trust to handle international issues into the final presidential debate, combined with his highest personal popularity of the 2012 campaign. But continued weakness in his perceived economic priorities is keeping the race a close one. Among other shifts, after last week’s second debate, which […] Read more »
Nate Silver’s Flawed Model
… The main reason that Silver feels Obama is still an overwhelming favorite is that while Romney has surged in the polls to tie (or lead) Obama nationally, the challenger is still, in Silver’s opinion, a long shot to pull together enough battleground states to get to 270 electoral votes. […] Read more »
Can the third presidential debate swing it for either Romney or Obama?
Monday brings the final debate. Heading into it, the story remains the same as it was yesterday, last week, and the week before last. President Obama and Mitt Romney remain tied in the national race. The issue for Romney is that, at this point, he lacks a viable path to […] Read more »