The latest national likely voter survey for Democracy Corps has Obama back to his 49 to 46 percent lead, with 2 percent volunteering a third party candidate. There are only 3 percent undecided.
While nearly all the other polls show a closer race, we have a lot of confidence in this survey.
When all is said and done, this may be the year when polling had to catch up to the rapidly changing ways people communicate. This survey is one-third cell phones and, as with all our likely voter surveys, it screens for participation and past vote, and the demographics reflect our conservative projection of likely voter demographics. [cont.]
Greenberg, Carville, Seifert, Democracy Corps