U.S. veterans, about 13% of the adult population and consisting mostly of older men, support Mitt Romney over Barack Obama for president by 58% to 34%, while nonveterans give Obama a four-percentage-point edge. [cont.] Frank Newport, Gallup Read more »
Parsing demographics and the 2012 presidential race
… Obama is winning a declining share of what is a steadily declining share of the electorate. … The coalition that Obama began to assemble in his first campaign and continues to focus on in his reelection bid depends less on maintaining his share of the white working-class vote and […] Read more »
Obama’s Last Line of Defense
The new round of national and state surveys this week generally showing President Obama clinging to a tenuous advantage over Republican Mitt Romney reinforce the conclusion that socially liberal, upscale white women may stand as the president’s indispensable line of defense in his struggle for reelection. [ cont. ] Ronald […] Read more »
Romney holds key advantages among financially struggling white voters
In an election year in which the economy ranks as Americans’ top concern, presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney holds significant advantages over President Obama among white voters who are struggling financially and buffeted by job loss, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. [ cont. ] Jon Cohen […] Read more »
In Ratings on Economic Interests, the 2012 Battle Lines are Drawn
Americans overwhelmingly say Mitt Romney as president would do more than Barack Obama to advance the interests of financial institutions and the wealthy, and by a narrower margin see Obama as better for the middle class. But when it comes to the best champion for “you and your family” or […] Read more »
Flip a Coin
Not much in the just-released NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conflicts with the story line that we’re going to see a lot of close races this fall. … One source of good news for Democrats is that Obama draws a 51 percent approval rating on foreign policy; the bad news […] Read more »