Republican women are rallying to Mitt Romney — their party’s now-certain presidential nominee — boosting him to his best-ever showing on a fundamental measure of personal popularity, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. [cont.] Jon Cohen and Krissah Thompson, Washington Post Read more »
Volatile independents rocking polls
The best thing about the November vote for president is that we are finally returning to a “normal” ballot scenario. Most voters will turn out, partisans will vote for their party’s nominee and independents will decide the result. The worst thing about November’s balloting is that pre-election polls will provide […] Read more »
Structure of Presidential Race Shows Little Change So Far
Six weeks into Gallup’s Daily tracking of the U.S. presidential election, the race remains highly stable, both overall and within demographic groups. Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are tied, 46% to 46%, among the more than 9,000 registered voters interviewed from May 7-27, exactly as they were in the previous […] Read more »
Romney Rebounds Among Women, While Obama’s Favorability Slips
A sharp advance among women has boosted Mitt Romney to his highest favorability rating of the presidential campaign – albeit still an unusually weak one – while Barack Obama’s personal popularity has slipped in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll. [cont.] Gary Langer, Langer Research Associates/ABC News Read more »
Flip-flopping: In politics, a mind can be a terrible thing to change
… Attack ads featuring spinning weather vanes and double-talking candidates have become a staple of American campaigns, but consultants who make those ads say the flip-flopper charge doesn’t always stick — and no one has a formula to predict exactly when it will. … “Voters tend to be fair-minded about […] Read more »
Hope: The Sequel
… When I ask [Jim] Messina if Romney is a more formidable foe than McCain, he replies without blinking, “I don’t care.” … In addition to not caring about Romney’s candidate skills, he doesn’t give a whit about national polling, in which Obama’s numbers are dragged down by his horrific […] Read more »