… [W]e are looking at a sequential three-bounce sequence: Romney’s VP bounce, Romney’s convention bounce, and Obama’s convention bounce. The meaningful data will be the contours of the race when the dust settles after all three bounce opportunities have occurred. At that point, the race will go through a period […] Read more »
Catholics Share Bishops’ Concerns about Religious Liberty
Catholics who are aware of U.S. bishops’ concerns about restrictions on religious liberty generally agree with the bishops’ concerns. Yet the bishops’ protests against government policies they see as restrictive of religious liberty have not drawn much more interest among Catholics than among the general public. And there are no […] Read more »
Twitter Political Index: A new barometer for the election
… Today, we’re launching the Twitter Political Index, a daily measurement of Twitter users’ feelings towards the candidates as expressed in nearly two million Tweets each week. The Twitter Political Index is built in partnership with the data analysis team at Topsy (@Topsy) and two respected polling firms: The Mellman […] Read more »
Scientists go beyond the polls to forecast U.S. election
… In a Reuters poll of nine leading forecasters, the median prediction was for Obama to win 50.5 percent of the vote. … In 2008, the median forecast of the same group, which estimated that Obama would receive 52 percent of the vote compared with Republican John McCain’s 48 percent, […] Read more »
New Polls Show Obama Has Edge in 3 Battleground States
President Obama is struggling to persuade voters that he deserves to win re-election based on his handling of the economy, but his empathy and personal appeal give him an edge over Mitt Romney in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, according to Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls. [cont.] Jeff Zeleny and […] Read more »
Americans Equally Clear on Obama, Romney Jobs Plans
Americans are about as likely to say they understand at least somewhat well what Barack Obama (64%) would do to create jobs if elected president as they are to say this about Mitt Romney (60%). This understanding is critical, given that creating jobs is perceived as the top priority for […] Read more »