On Friday, we began to see reasonably clear signs that President Obama would receive some kind of bounce in the polls from the Democratic convention. Mr. Obama had another strong day in the polls on Saturday, making further gains in each of four national tracking polls. The question now is […] Read more »
Fearing the Clinton Factor
Of all the surrogates, themes and attacks rolled out by the Democrats in Charlotte last week, the Romney campaign flashed fear over just one. His name is Bill Clinton. … Polls show the former president could prove an unusually potent asset for President Barack Obama’s reelection bid, particularly in swing […] Read more »
Could foreign policy actually affect the 2012 presidential election?
… [E]very head-to-head poll has given Barack Obama a decided advantage on foreign policy and national security. Every one. The thing is, I’ve stipulated over and over that Americans don’t care all that much about foreign policy. So one has to wonder whether this really matters. It’s an election about […] Read more »
Obama and Romney campaigns seek breakthrough strategy
… History is an imperfect guide to the future, but as the presidential campaign moves into its final eight weeks, Obama and Romney may be looking to the past for inspiration and encouragement as they try to open up what has been a closely fought contest. For Romney, that past […] Read more »
Obama, Clinton Scored Back to Back Home Runs With Their Speeches
… The polls in coming days will record the bounce for Obama. But the bounce that could count most in a base election has already happened. Democrats are galvanized by the best convention in modern history—by Bill Clinton’s fiery appeal and by Barack Obama’s finely tuned and targeted acceptance address […] Read more »
This Year, a Weak Economy Is a Relative Term
… Has the economy lost some of its ability to influence politics? Not at all, says Ray C. Fair, the Yale economics professor who uses economic data to predict presidential elections. As the final stretch of the campaign begins, Professor Fair’s equations suggest that the economy is a liability for […] Read more »