… Although there are exceptions on either side, like the Gallup national tracking poll, for the most part Mr. Obama seems to be getting stronger results in polls that use live interviewers and that include cellphones in their samples — enough to suggest that he has a clear advantage in […] Read more »
Obama has edge over Romney in three battleground states
President Barack Obama has the edge over Republican Mitt Romney in three potentially decisive states in the presidential election. Obama tops Romney by seven percentage points among likely voters in both Ohio (49-42 percent) and Virginia (50-43 percent). In Florida, the president holds a five-point edge (49-44 percent). … The […] Read more »
Romney’s predicament: Another case of elite cathexis?
John Sides, a political-science professor at George Washington University, thinks Mitt Romney’s embarrassing fund-raiser video is unlikely to affect the race much. … But I’m not a political scientist, and I can’t help but think this is a somewhat bigger deal than Mr Sides thinks it is. Part of the […] Read more »
Poll Points to Risks for Romney
Which voters are causing the most trouble for Mitt Romney? The new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, released Tuesday evening, shows Mr. Romney trailing President Barack Obama — perhaps dangerously so, given the shrinking pool of undecided voters. But it also points to ways that Mr. Romney could be winning, […] Read more »
Voters’ Reaction to Romney’s ‘47%’ Comments Tilts Negative
Americans have a more negative than positive immediate reaction to Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s comments, secretly caught on video, about the 47% of Americans whom he said are Obama supporters and dependent on the government. Thirty-six percent of voters say Romney’s comments make them less likely to vote for […] Read more »
Obama Ahead with Stronger Support, Better Image and Lead on Most Issues
At this stage in the campaign, Barack Obama is in a strong position compared with past victorious presidential candidates. With an eight-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, Obama holds a bigger September lead than the last three candidates who went on to win in November, including Obama four […] Read more »