In our Aurora, Colorado, dial group session with the kinds of up-for-grabs voters whom Mitt Romney must win to overcome his deficits in swing states, President Obama reinforced his advantages on key qualities, and wavering Obama supporters (who were willing to give Romney a second look) largely were unimpressed by […] Read more »
Charlie Cook, Glen Bolger and Fred Yang Discuss Election 2012
National Journal hosts a discussion of the 2012 election and the first presidential debate, with elections analyst Charlie Cook, and pollsters Glen Bolger and Fred Yang. VIDEO, via C-SPAN Read more »
Defining Events
… Of the 16 most recent national polls using live telephone interviewers calling both respondents with landlines and those with cell phones (between 30 and 40 percent of voters do not have landlines and cannot legally be called by robo-pollsters), one has the race even, two have Obama with a […] Read more »
Where’s the Beef?
… The debate is unlikely to solve all of Romney’s problems. … But the debate did two very important things for the challenger. First, it arrested the rush to judgment in much of the political community that Obama had effectively sealed the race. … Second, the evening delivered a powerful […] Read more »
Can We Believe the Presidential Polls?
… In the past 30 days, there were 91 national polls (including each Gallup and Rasmussen daily tracking survey). Mr. Obama was at or above the magic number of 50% in just 20. His average was 47.9%. Mr. Romney’s was 45.5%. There were 40 national polls over the same period […] Read more »
Obama’s Lead Among Younger Millennials Widens to 16 Points
Young voters’ support for President Barack Obama has increased significantly since March, a new survey finds, widening to a 16-point advantage among younger Millennials (age 18-25) over Republican challenger Mitt Romney (55 percent vs. 39 percent). The Millennial Values and Voter Engagement survey is the second installment of a two-wave […] Read more »