I’ve seen more than a few election cycles, but I’m not certain I have seen many that are more confusing than the one we are now in. Which “rules” of handicapping still hold in the current environment, and which fell by the wayside as our parties changed, our political institutions […] Read more »
People in Republican Counties Have Higher Death Rates Than Those in Democratic Counties
During the COVID-19 pandemic, the link between politics and health became glaringly obvious. Democrat-leaning “blue” states were more likely to enact mask requirements and vaccine and social distancing mandates. Republican-leaning “red” states were much more resistant to health measures. The consequences of those differences emerged by the end of 2020, […] Read more »
Voters of color are backing the GOP at historic levels
… All you have to do is turn on the political news to see that we are a country where political tribalism is high. Political science tells us that congressional polarization, for instance, is at its highest level since the 19th century. But while Democrats and Republicans may be further […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Voters say the economy is bad, and they expect it will get worse
Almost all voters are worried about inflation, large numbers continue to rate the economy negatively — and a majority expects things will be worse next year. The latest Fox News survey also finds both Democrats and Republicans are equally motivated to vote, and that if the midterm election were today, […] Read more »
A rough week for Biden. How much will it affect Democrats in November?
They say that bad news often comes in batches, and that was the case for President Biden this past week: a bleak new poll, another gloomy inflation report and a legislative setback. As he traveled through the Middle East, the home front remained on fire politically. … Biden being a […] Read more »
The Key Insights From Our First Poll of the 2022 Midterms
Which side has the most energy heading into November? More polls will come as the midterm elections near, but for now we’ve wrapped up our first New York Times/Siena survey, and here are some notable takeaways: Voters are not happy. Just 13 percent of registered voters said America was heading […] Read more »