The top lines for Democrats continue to be brutal heading into the November midterm elections: Voters are furious about inflation, they overwhelmingly believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, and President Biden is not at all a popular figure. But based on recent polling, the issue matrix has […] Read more »
Kansas Result Suggests 4 Out of 5 States Would Back Abortion Rights in Similar Vote
There was every reason to expect a close election. Instead, Tuesday’s resounding victory for abortion rights supporters in Kansas offered some of the most concrete evidence yet that the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade has shifted the political landscape. The victory, by a 59-41 margin in a […] Read more »
Reassessing the Race for the Senate
Key Points• In an election where Republicans are banking on the environment while Democrats are banking on differences in candidate quality, Republicans are relying on a very inexperienced group of candidates.• Compared to 2014, the last time Republicans flipped the Senate, the party’s non-incumbent candidates are incredibly green.• Democrats, meanwhile, […] Read more »
Trump Has Big Plans for 2025, and He Doesn’t Care Whether You Think He’ll Win
As he contemplates a third straight run for the presidency, Donald Trump has a multimillion-dollar political machine and a network of tax-exempt advocacy groups at his disposal. He also has a plan. The plan is to wrest control of the federal government from what he sees as a policy apparatus […] Read more »
Trump is losing ground in the 2024 primary. Here’s why.
Donald Trump leads in primary polls and is well-liked by his party — but his position is worse than it was a year ago. Surveys show half of Republican voters are considering other candidates. Candidates endorsed by the former president have lost in Georgia, Idaho, Nebraska, North Carolina and South […] Read more »
Why Abortion Is Becoming A Winning Issue For Democrats
On Tuesday, we got our first test of how potent an issue abortion might be for Democrats this fall. In a state that overwhelmingly voted for then-President Donald Trump in 2020, a ballot initiative clarifying that Kansas’s state constitution does in fact protect abortion won by double digits. What’s going […] Read more »