Republican Senate leader Mitch McConnell sees the writing on the wall. He thinks the weakness of his party’s Senate nominees may doom his chances of becoming Majority Leader once again. The data support his view. However, there’s a reform that could have avoided this situation – and can potentially help […] Read more »
Californians oppose Biden and Trump running for President in 2024
By a nearly two-to-one margin (61% to 31%) California voters oppose Joe Biden seeking a second term as President in 2024. Republicans are overwhelmingly against the President running again (87% to 9%), while the state’s registered Democrats are evenly split, with 46% in favor and 46% opposed. Despite repeated denials […] Read more »
Vibe Shift
After months of “Democrats are doomed” chatter, there’s been a definite shift in mood and momentum toward the party in power. Republicans are openly fretting about their flawed and under-funded Senate candidates, while Democrats, who not long ago were bemoaning fumbles by the White House and Democratic leadership in Congress, […] Read more »
Is There a Serious Case for a Not-Awful Election for Democrats This Fall?
… The conventional wisdom in Washington would indicate that the Democrats are all but certain to lose the House in 2022, and very likely the Senate, too. The yearlong collapse in Joe Biden’s approval ratings has been seen as a virtual guarantee of this outcome. Biden has become the most […] Read more »
Millennials, Gen X Clinging to Independent Party ID
Historically, Americans have had weak attachments to the two major U.S. political parties in young adulthood, but as they get older, they usually became more likely to identify as a Republican or a Democrat. That historical pattern, evident in the Silent and baby boom generations, appears to be changing. Generation […] Read more »
Liz Cheney’s Kamikaze Campaign
The defiant speech from Representative Liz Cheney of Wyoming after her defeat in yesterday’s Republican primary could be reduced to a single message: This is round one. … The magnitude of Cheney’s defeat yesterday underscores how strong Trump remains within the party, and how little chance a presidential candidacy based […] Read more »