The Republicans have a lead. But it keeps shrinking. While they’re still in a very good position to capture a House majority, that majority looks narrower today than it ever has, having ticked down for the second straight month to 223 seats in our model estimate. Republicans were at 226 […] Read more »
Voters divided amid intense fight for control of Congress, poll finds
Heading into the final weeks of the midterm election campaign, Americans are split nationally in their vote for Congress, with Republicans holding sizable advantages on the economy, inflation and crime and Democrats far more trusted to handle the issues of abortion and climate change, according to a Washington Post-ABC News […] Read more »
Biden struggles, as does his party, as most Democrats look elsewhere for 2024
With his party struggling in the midterms, his economic stewardship under fire and his overall job approval under 40%, a clear majority of Democrats in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll say the party should replace Joe Biden as its nominee for president in 2024. In the November midterm election […] Read more »
Lost Hope of Lasting Democratic Majority
Today we wish a belated and maybe not-so-Happy 20th Birthday to “The Emerging Democratic Majority,” the book that famously argued Democrats would gain an enduring advantage in a multiracial, postindustrial America. There are countless explanations for the rise of Donald Trump and the growing dysfunction of American political life. This […] Read more »
Inside the Completely Legal G.O.P. Plot to Destroy American Democracy
Imagine a legal Jan. 6. It’s bureaucratic, boring, invisible — and it might actually succeed. Johnny Harris & Michelle Cottle, New York Times The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
US politicians tweet far more misinformation than those in the UK and Germany
Good ideas/Shutterstock Stephan Lewandowsky, University of Bristol and Jana Lasser, Graz University of Technology Politicians from mainstream parties in the UK and Germany post far fewer links to untrustworthy websites on Twitter and this has remained constant since 2016, according to our new research. By contrast, US politicians posted a […] Read more »