The Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot has tightened to 6 percentage points, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. The poll finds that 50% of registered voters say they prefer a Democrat in their congressional district, while 44% say they want a Republican. That’s a major shift […] Read more »
The House Exodus: How the historically high number of open seats affects the November calculus
In the roughly two and a half months since we last assessed an already-long list of House open seats this cycle — and even in the week since my colleague Geoffrey Skelley took a deep look at the pace of House retirements historically — the number of open House seats […] Read more »
As Stormy Daniels tells her story, six conservative Americans debate whether Trump is a role model
Roughly 22 million Americans turned on “60 Minutes” on Sunday night to hear adult-film star Stormy Daniels say that she once spanked President Trump with a magazine that had his face on the cover and then had unprotected sex with him. For many, the interview was the latest in a […] Read more »
Evangelicals meet partisanship
Twenty years ago, evangelical leaders could hardly have been more appalled. Arguing that character counts, Rev. Franklin Graham asserted that if a president “will lie to, or mislead, his wife … what will prevent him from doing the same to the American public?” The late Billy Graham’s son was referring […] Read more »
Democrats may already be 35% of the way to a House majority
With the retirement announcement of Pennsylvania Republican Rep. Ryan Costello, there are now eight open seats currently held by Republicans in districts that Hillary Clinton won in 2016. And there’s a good chance the Democrats will win them all, bringing the party 35% closer to the 23 seats it needs […] Read more »
Fact-checking Tucker Carlson on diversity in America
Wrong on the key specifics. And even more wrong on the larger meaning. That’s the dual bottom line on the extraordinary screed last week against diversity in general, and immigration in particular, from Fox News Channel host Tucker Carlson. … Carlson said explicitly what is often left implicit: how much […] Read more »