We are about to see a replay of the 2016 election fight over premium increases, but this time in reverse. Last time, it was the Republicans hammering Democrats for the rate hikes. This time, it will be Democrats accusing Republicans of driving up premiums by sabotaging the Affordable Care Act. […] Read more »
Why Is Climate Change So Politically Polarizing?
One of the starkest displays of political polarization in the U.S. is on the subject of climate change. But it wasn’t always this way. Gallup’s tracking on the issue reveals periods in the 1990s when Democrats’ and Republicans’ views on the topic were not so different. So, how did the […] Read more »
Will Trump lose the GOP nomination?
Reporters love writing about the persistence of the Trump coalition. I sense it’s partly out of surprise and wonder. Like most college educated Americans, reporters have trouble believing there are people who still stand by this president, despite all the lies, all the chaos, all the broken promises, all the […] Read more »
Republicans open a risky new front in the immigration wars
In the epic struggle between President Donald Trump and the Democratic-controlled California state government, a new front is opening that could prove pivotal to the battle for control of the US House of Representatives this fall. Local officials in Orange County last week threw a twist into the escalating conflict […] Read more »
Why Democrats Could See a Polling Boost Right Before the Midterms
… Donald Trump spent much of his first year in office trying to make Americans’ health insurance more expensive. In interviews with major publications last spring, the president repeatedly threatened to deliberately destabilize the Affordable Care Act marketplaces by abruptly halting subsidies to insurers. By year’s end, he had made […] Read more »
Be Skeptical Of Anyone Who Tells You They Know How Democrats Can Win In November
… Which is a better representation of the true base partisanship of the United States, 2012 or 2016? By winning white, working-class areas (especially in the Midwest) but losing traditional GOP strongholds in suburbia and the Sun Belt, President Trump charted an electoral map that looked slightly but notably different […] Read more »