Republicans spent Wednesday in a perpetual state of high-fiving after coal baron and convicted criminal Don Blankenship lost his bid for the party’s U.S. Senate nomination in West Virginia. The party, according to President Trump, had nominated candidates “who have a great chance of winning in November.” Turnout, according to […] Read more »
Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats
Yes, it’s time for another of my “dangerous dozen open House seats” columns, which I have been writing since shortly after the establishment of the Jamestown Settlement (or so it seems). … Here is my list, in descending order of vulnerability. CONT. Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Read more »
The Very Stable House Generic Ballot
The House generic ballot, a national polling question that gauges voter intentions in the House vote, often fluctuates a lot from poll to poll. For instance, a poll that is highly rated by FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings, Monmouth University, fluctuated from a 15-point Democratic lead in December 2017 to a two-point […] Read more »
A poll shows Republicans pulling even in congressional races. That’s not the whole story.
CNN is justifiably hyped about its new poll offering a surprising assessment of this November’s congressional races. “Democrats’ 2018 advantage is nearly gone,” its article about the poll trumpets, a function of the mostly erased gap between the Democrats and the Republicans on the generic-ballot question (that is, asking respondents […] Read more »
Democrats in Rust Belt: Stay Close to Trump, but Not Too Close
A day after the first major primary contests of 2018, the political armies on the left and the right repositioned themselves for an intense general election across Rust Belt states that President Trump carried two years ago — and where his personality and record will define the battles leading to […] Read more »
Who’s hurting GOP Senate prospects?
… Being a congressional leader is hard and there is always a political price to be paid. By its nature, the job is highly partisan at a time when voters claim to be sick of partisan battles. In recent times, no leader of either party on either side of the […] Read more »