In the early 1970s, many evangelical Christians weren’t active in politics. Within a few years they had reshaped American politics for a generation. Retro Report, New York Times Read more »
How disinformation, voter suppression and partisanship destroy democracy
… As Walter Lippmann first argued in “Public Opinion” (1922), people in mass societies interpret the modern world through the “pictures” and “fictions” in their heads. The “pseudo-environments” they inhabit are made comprehensible only through the “stereotypes” that enable them to make sense of an otherwise chaotic reality, and for […] Read more »
Arizona, Florida, Indiana: Tight contests mark critical Senate races
Tight contests dominate the Senate landscape: In Florida, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson and Republican Gov. Rick Scott are tied among likely voters, 46 percent to 46 percent including those who have cast ballots already. … Health care concerns have helped Democrat Kyrsten Sinema to a slight three-point advantage over […] Read more »
Ten days from Election Day, Trump stands at the center of the storm
This is the time in an election cycle when people who do politics for a living are nervous. They look for evidence, favorable or unfavorable, they can trust. They weigh what polls tell them against what their instincts tell them, or against what they believe can still happen. It is […] Read more »
Democrats Have Numbers on Their Side in Battle for the House. Republicans Have the Map.
Dozens of House races remain extremely close in the closing days of the midterms, according to New York Times Upshot/Siena College polls, making it easy to envision a Democratic blowout or a district-by-district battle for control that lasts for weeks. The difference between the two outcomes will depend on whether […] Read more »
Uncertainty Remains High Even as Election Day Awaits
Close observers of American politics seem to live in a world of constant suspense and frequent unforeseen plot twists, but the state of public opinion out in the country at large is in fact remarkably stable these days. … Stability isn’t the same thing as certainty, however, and the lack […] Read more »