… Nationally, overwhelming margins among Latino voters helped drive Democratic victories in states like California, Nevada and Arizona. But in Florida, older Cuban-Americans who mostly support Republicans voted in droves, while turnout for younger Cubans, Puerto Ricans and other non-Cuban Hispanics who skew Democratic lagged—and did not skew as Democratic […] Read more »
She Votes, She Leads: What Mattered to Women in the 2018 Midterms
A new post-election poll confirms many women voters strongly dislike President Trump and are troubled by his tone and use of offensive language, but they also say he wasn’t the only factor driving their votes this fall. President Trump has a steep hill to climb if he is to win […] Read more »
One thing saving California Republicans from annihilation? An earlier wave of misunderstood migrants
With Orange County now blue, the last remaining Republican holdouts in California look pretty similar. Among their shared characteristics? Many were top destinations for Dust Bowl migrants of the 1930s. So-called “Okies” and “Arkies,” sporting once-insulting nicknames that Okies later reclaimed as their own, fled the natural and man-made ecological […] Read more »
2018 Post Election Analysis: ‘Focus on OUR Concerns’
The 2018 midterm elections, for Republicans, is a story of missed opportunity. Holding the House was a tall order with history against the GOP as the party in power and the large number of Republican retirements But a path to preserving their House majority, even if a difficult one, did […] Read more »
Trump’s alienation of younger voters is a generational gamble for GOP
The sharp turn against the Republican Party by young people in the 2018 election may be only the overture to an even greater political risk for the GOP in 2020. Both historical voting patterns and underlying demographic trends suggest that the biggest difference in the electorate between this election and […] Read more »
Republicans’ hard-line stance on immigration may alienate millennials for years
… The millennial generation is the most diverse adult generation in U.S. history. Hispanics make up 21 percent of all U.S. millennials. My research shows that this diversity contributes to their more progressive and tolerant attitudes toward immigration, compared with older adults. In my book “The Politics of Millennials,” co-authored […] Read more »