… Traditional nonpartisan pollsters, after years of trial and error and tweaking of their methodologies, produced polls that largely reflected reality. But they also conducted fewer polls than in the past. That paucity allowed their accurate findings to be overwhelmed by an onrush of partisan polls in key states that […] Read more »
Black support for GOP ticked up in this year’s midterms
Black voters have been a steady foundation for Democratic candidates for decades, but that support appeared to show a few cracks in this year’s elections. Republican candidates were backed by 14% of Black voters, compared with 8% in the last midterm elections four years ago, according to AP VoteCast, an […] Read more »
Since 2018, Republicans have lost confidence in U.S. institutions
In June and July 2018, we launched a U.S. survey that asked 5,400 Americans how much confidence they had in a series of national institutions, called the American Institutional Confidence (AIC) Poll. These included political, social and business institutions. … With these questions, we collected detailed demographic and background data […] Read more »
Young Republicans warn the party to promote issues that young voters care about
Most young voters cast their ballots for Democratic candidates in last month’s midterm elections. Now, young Republicans are demanding change from their party to keep up with their generation. A Martínez & Elena Moore, NPR News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful […] Read more »
2022’s Most Unexpected Winners and Losers
Generally, we don’t like to endorse zero-sum views of the world, but it was hard to miss the seesaw effect at play across the political landscape of 2022. So we offer for your amusement (or annoyance, depending on your political priors) 11 sets of paired winners and losers — the […] Read more »
The antisemitic and Islamophobic fringe is alarmingly emboldened—but it’s shrinking
Just before Thanksgiving, the former president of the United States, Donald Trump, had dinner at his home with the self-avowed white supremacist and antisemite Nick Fuentes, who had declared, among other outrageous utterances, that the U.S. should “be run by Catholics, not Jews.” The lack of remorse from Mr. Trump […] Read more »