Given the growth in the Latino electorate, which is expected to surpass African Americans as the second largest group of voters in 2020, many polling organizations now report out subgroup results for “Hispanics.” They shouldn’t. Their sample sizes of Latino voters are woefully small, typically 80-150 in size, and their […] Read more »
Biden Thinks Trump Is the Problem, Not All Republicans. Other Democrats Disagree.
As Joseph R. Biden Jr. made his way across Iowa on his first trip as a 2020 presidential candidate, the former vice president repeatedly returned to one term — aberration — when he referred to the Trump presidency. “Limit it to four years,” Mr. Biden pleaded with a ballroom crowd […] Read more »
Red, Green, and Blue: The Partisan Divide on Environmental Issues
This Element explores the growing party divisions on the environment in the United States. It draws upon quantitative and qualitative data from several decades of national and state politics. The study contributes theory to the party position change literature, showing that interest groups change parties, but in turn are changed […] Read more »
Biden Accelerates the Democratic Fight About the White Working Class
White working-class voters’ share of the electorate may be shrinking even faster now than in recent years, new data suggest. But that dynamic shows no signs of dampening the growing debate among Democrats about how heavily the party should focus on recapturing the blue-collar whites who have become the foundation […] Read more »
CNN Poll: With Mueller investigation over, Trump approval at 43%
With Robert Mueller’s investigation finished, Donald Trump’s approval rating stands at its highest level since April 2017 in a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS, as the share who say Democrats in Congress are doing too much to investigate the President rises 6 points. Trump’s approval rating remains largely negative […] Read more »
Can Democrats Win On Immigration Policy In 2020?
Immigration is likely going to be a major topic in the 2020 election. From issuing a travel ban on many majority-Muslim countries to shutting down the government while seeking funding for a border wall, President Trump has made immigration perhaps the central defining issue of his presidency. And Democrats have […] Read more »