Polling Responses Provide Vivid Illustration of Divergent Opinions on Trump

In this era of political tribalism, with so many people living in partisan and ideological silos—living, working, and socializing with like-minded people—it tends to not just reinforce thinking, but also to disconnect us from others with different backgrounds and points of view. This past week’s NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll […] Read more »

What can we learn from the North Carolina redo election?

By now, most journalists, handicappers, and party operatives are trained to restrain themselves when applying special election results to future general election forecasts. But the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District provides a unique opportunity to learn about the present political environment and how it’s changed since November. Instead […] Read more »

Would Democrats Really Face A Backlash If They Impeached Trump?

Some rank-and-file congressional Democrats favor starting impeachment proceedings against President Trump. Even Democrats who don’t favor impeachment, such as House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, have suggested that Trump’s behavior could be impeachment-worthy, pointing to his administration’s refusal to comply with Congress’s requests for documents and testimony from key officials and the […] Read more »

Did the 2016 presidential primary debates make any difference?

It’s a natural default assumption that when big-ticket events occur over the course of a presidential election, they are necessarily important. Everyone gets together for a debate that’s watched by millions of people; how could that not shape the outcome of the race? But a funny thing happened in 2016. […] Read more »