Many Democrats long have considered Robert S. Mueller III a potential savior, as the agent of President Trump’s eventual undoing. Wednesday’s hearings on Capitol Hill probably shattered those illusions once and for all. … Regardless of the evidence of obstruction contained in Mueller’s report, impeachment is a fraught strategy for […] Read more »
Mueller Talks
After months of back-and-forth with Democrats, former special counsel Robert Mueller testified before the U.S. House Judiciary and Intelligence committees on Wednesday. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Sarah Frostenson and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join Galen Druke to discuss the most relevant moments from the hearings — and whether […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Trump approval up, voter ratings on economy best in decades
More voters rate the economy positively today than have since 2001, according to the latest Fox News Poll. In addition, approval of the job President Trump is doing on the economy stands at 52 percent (41 percent disapprove). … He receives net negative marks on border security (44 approve – […] Read more »
Presidential Candidates and Public Opinion About the Economy
There is certainly evidence that Americans’ take on the national economy has become more positive in recent years. Although the month-to-month numbers vary, Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index has been as high over the past year as it has been since the end of the dot-com boom in the early 2000s. […] Read more »
The Democratic Party Is Actually Three Parties
Democratic Party voters are split. Its most progressive wing, which is supportive of contentious policies on immigration, health care and other issues, is, in the context of the party’s electorate, disproportionately white. So is the party’s middle group of “somewhat liberal” voters. Its more moderate wing, which is pressing bread-and-butter […] Read more »
Trump Relies on Populist Language, but He Mostly Sides With Corporate Interests
History will record last week as a moment when President Trump turned to raw racial appeals to attack a group of nonwhite lawmakers, but his attacks also underscored a remarkable fact of his first term: His rhetorical appeals to white working-class voters have not been matched by legislative accomplishments aimed […] Read more »