Most Republicans are supportive of President Donald Trump’s influence on the party and the GOP’s move toward populism, and they are happily optimistic that he will win re-election in 2020, according to the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times national poll. And while the vast majority of Democrat-affiliated voters would be […] Read more »
Favorability of Major Political Figures and Organizations in Battleground Districts
Pundits have asserted that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s progressive agenda threatens the Democratic Party’s chances of making broad gains in the 2020 election and beyond. Unsourced polling leaked to Axios suggested that white, likely voters without college degrees view Ocasio-Cortez overwhelmingly unfavorably—a population Axios deemed crucial to the Democrats’ future as […] Read more »
Abolishing the Filibuster Is Unavoidable for Democrats
Even if Democrats regain unified control of the White House and Congress in 2020, the fate of their ambitious legislative agenda will still likely hinge on a fundamental question: Do they try to end the Senate filibuster? If the party chooses to keep the filibuster, it faces a daunting prospect: […] Read more »
The Big Six Swing States in 2020
There are six states that will be key to winning the 2020 presidential election if it is at all close. Whoever wins most of them will in all likelihood win the presidency. The six are Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Donald Trump won Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and […] Read more »
Which Party’s Voters are More Divided?
The contest for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination features more than 20 candidates representing a wide variety of ideological orientations ranging from progressives like Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) to more moderate candidates like Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT) and former Rep. John Delaney (D, MD-6). The first […] Read more »
Government: The Most Important Issue Facing 2020 Candidates
The American public’s broad concerns about the role of the federal government in their lives have evolved into, I believe, the most important issue in our current political environment. Debates over the role of government have defined the American Experience going back to the nation’s founding — but now more […] Read more »