Key Points• National Republicans breathed a sigh of relief on Tuesday night, as Rep. Roger Marshall (R, KS-1) beat 2018 gubernatorial nominee Kris Kobach (R) in the Kansas Senate primary. Practically speaking, the Kansas Senate race went from being a potentially major Democratic offensive target to one where the Republicans […] Read more »
Voters Rarely Switch Parties, but Recent Shifts Further Educational, Racial Divergence
Overwhelming majorities of both Republican and Democratic voters have retained their party affiliation over the past two years, a tumultuous period marked by a global pandemic, mass protests against racial injustice and a presidential impeachment. … A new study, conducted on Pew Research Center’s nationally representative American Trends Panel, is […] Read more »
4 ways Biden’s running mate could help — or hurt — the Democratic ticket
We know that Joe Biden’s vice presidential pick will be a female and that the announcement is coming very soon. Beyond that, it’s a mystery, though several contenders have emerged, including Sen. Kamala Harris, Rep. Karen Bass and Susan Rice, among others. Presidential nominees of the past have taken very […] Read more »
Alienated by Trump, Suburban Voters Sour on G.O.P. in Battle for the House
… Suburban districts like these have long been critical bases of Republican support, packed with affluent white voters who reliably chose Republicans to represent them in Congress. Democrats seized control of the House in 2018 by making inroads in communities like these, and Republicans have tied their hopes of reclaiming […] Read more »
Democrats are stronger favorites in tight race for Senate control
… The Democrats’ chance of wresting control away from Republicans has increased over the last few months. They are clearer favorites to take back Congress’ upper chamber, though the race for Senate control is still well within the margin of error. To gain a majority of seats, Democrats need a […] Read more »
The Pandemic Is Damaging the GOP Brand Everywhere
Although hardly any of the governors grappling with the fiercest coronavirus outbreaks are on the ballot this fall, voters’ verdicts about their performance loom heavily over another electoral battle with enormous implications for the balance of power between the parties over the next decade: the struggle for control of state […] Read more »