The story of Liz Cheney’s soon-to-be ouster from party leadership is about many things. First and foremost, of course, it’s about Donald Trump and his iron grip on the party. It’s also about history and dynasty. … We aren’t just witnessing the end of Cheney’s time in leadership; we are […] Read more »
‘It’s His Own Damn Fault,’ Top G.O.P. Pollster Says of Trump and Facebook
… The guest on this episode of “Sway” is Frank Luntz, the veteran Republican pollster and strategist who shot to fame with his Fox News focus groups. Luntz says Trump has no one but himself to blame for losing his social media status and the presidency as well as the […] Read more »
How the Senate’s Long-Term Equilibrium Could Shape Democratic Decisions on the Filibuster
Key Points• A majority of states are now either solidly Republican or solidly Democratic on the presidential level, and the party a state prefers for president increasingly has a big edge in winning the state’s two Senate seats. Given these patterns, it’s possible to game out the basic contours of […] Read more »
Republicans should disband if they don’t win back the House in 2022
Failure, disappointment and embarrassment. Those three feelings should come to mind for Republicans if they don’t win the House majority in 2022. Democrats have their narrowest majority in more than a generation, and Republicans have redistricting and history on their side in the midterm elections. There’s really no excuse for […] Read more »
The Six Factors That Will Shape 2022
In politics, as in weather, there can be a sudden change in the prevailing winds. Take the last three weeks before November’s elections, when a narrow but pivotal slice of voters, mostly independents, got cold feet about giving Democrats the big win that had appeared to be almost certain. Perhaps […] Read more »
Why Rising Diversity Might Not Help Democrats as Much as They Hope
The Census Bureau released two important sets of data last week that have big implications for American politics — and that challenge some prevailing assumptions for both Democrats and Republicans. The first set of data lays out long-term demographic trends widely thought to favor Democrats: Hispanics, Asian-Americans and multiracial voters […] Read more »