… Even amid soaring participation from all major racial groups, Asian Americans increased their turnout by more than any other cohort, according to recently released studies by the Census Bureau and Catalist, a Democratic voter-targeting firm. In fact, no major demographic group in recent decades has increased its turnout from […] Read more »
How the Storming of the Capitol Became a ‘Normal Tourist Visit’
It is no wonder that Republican leaders in the House do not want to convene a truth and reconciliation commission to scrutinize the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol. The more attention drawn to the events of that day, the more their party has to lose. Immediately after the riot, […] Read more »
Ahead of 2022, House Democrats Aim to Fix Their Polling Problem
… For the second presidential cycle in a row, Democrats were stunned by the number of voters who came out in support of Donald J. Trump and his Republican allies down the ballot. This week, the House Democrats’ campaign arm, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, presented the results of an […] Read more »
Trump Enthusiasts Are Lowering the Temperature
… Hart Research’s Jeff Horwitt shared with me 15 months of previously unreleased data from the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll that his firm conducts alongside GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies for the two news organizations. … The data shows that Republicans who have been seeing themselves as Trump loyalists […] Read more »
House Democrats’ 2020 election autopsy: Bad polling hurt and GOP attacks worked
For the second time in four years, Rep. Sean Maloney (D-N.Y.) drew one of the toughest assignments: investigating what went wrong in a disappointing election. … Maloney, the new chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, worked with senior staff to analyze 600 polls in House races last year, matched […] Read more »
The Democrats’ 2024 Senate problem
While campaign junkies everywhere are focused on the 2022 midterm elections, I’m already thinking about the fight for the Senate in 2024. Sure, what happens in next year’s congressional elections will impact the future, as will the next presidential contest, the state of the economy and dozens of other unknowns. […] Read more »