The Democrats’ New Voting-Rights Obstacle

There is a gnawing anxiety among voting-rights advocates that even if Democrats find a way to roll back the Senate filibuster and pass new federal legislation safeguarding access to the ballot, the Republican-appointed majority on the Supreme Court might still strike it down. Last week’s Supreme Court ruling, in which […] Read more »

Where Both Parties Overperform in the House

Key Points• As we head into a once-a-decade redistricting cycle, we analyzed which states have one party that is currently overperforming in its House delegation compared to that party’s share of the 2020 presidential vote.• Overall, the GOP has notched notable overperformances in 19 medium-to-large-sized states, compared to 11 for […] Read more »

Trump’s Cult of Animosity Shows No Sign of Letting Up

In 2016, Donald Trump recruited voters with the highest levels of animosity toward African Americans, assembling a “schadenfreude” electorate — voters who take pleasure in making the opposition suffer — that continues to dominate the Republican Party, even in the aftermath of the Trump presidency. With all his histrionics and […] Read more »

When we’ll know how much Trump’s support is worth

Early 2022 Senate primaries will be a good test of President Donald Trump’s enduring strength within the Republican Party. … While Trump likes to boast about the success of candidates he has endorsed in the past, that won’t guarantee future victories. He is wading into more crowded and competitive races […] Read more »