For years, high-ranking Republicans believed that Democrats had them backed into a demographic corner: The Latino electorate would continue to grow, providing Democrats with more votes and permanently squeezing Republicans out of power. Donald Trump has, for the moment, proved that theory wrong. Overall, Trump won 38 percent of the […] Read more »
Biden’s Honeymoon Is Over, and He Knows It
The first seven months of the Biden presidency have been easy compared with what’s coming down the pike. … As the 2022 and 2024 elections get closer, Biden is in a race to keep public attention on policies and initiatives favorable to the Democratic Party and its candidates against the […] Read more »
Trump remains the key to 2022
… Democrats’ best chance of holding the House and the Senate next year is by keeping the focus on Trump — by exposing what he did as president to undermine the rule of law and to cast doubt on the legitimacy of the 2020 election. Keeping the attention on Trump […] Read more »
More Republican politicians are endorsing vaccination. It just might work.
Among Americans who have yet to be vaccinated against the coronavirus, Republicans have been most consistently hesitant. The gap in vaccination rates between counties that voted for Joe Biden and those that voted for Donald Trump has only widened over time. … Our research shows that vaccination endorsements from elite […] Read more »
Which Republicans can hit the sweet spot in Ohio?
In the post-Trump era, Republican candidates must be able to win over a critical mass of party loyalists, including hardcore Trump voters, to prevail in contested primaries. They must then be able to maintain enough support among swing voters to have a fighting chance in competitive general elections. It’s not […] Read more »
Trump commands historic attention for an ex-president. That may hurt the GOP.
A sitting president of the United States is usually the person who drives political conversation. Former presidents tend to be an afterthought. But even as we stand more than six months into Joe Biden’s administration, the President is fighting for attention with his predecessor, Donald Trump, to a degree not […] Read more »