Senate Democrats May Have Further To Fall In 2024

My friends who are Democrats, particularly those of the more progressive variety, don’t seem to understand how deep they are in the political hole this year—and just how hard it might be to get out of it in 2024, particularly in the Senate. On a basic level, midterm elections are […] Read more »

GOP Has Congress Edge by Default

Congressional Republicans have a small edge over their Democratic colleagues on a dubious metric – they are slightly less likely to be seen as lacking concern for the average American’s financial well-being. This, along with a continuing decline in President Joe Biden’s job rating, contributes to a small preference for […] Read more »

Biden Starts Year Two With Diminished Public Support and a Daunting List of Challenges

Joe Biden began his presidency with positive job ratings and broad public confidence in his ability to deal with a number of major challenges – particularly the public health impact of the coronavirus. He starts his second year with diminished job approval and majorities expressing little or no confidence in […] Read more »

Why the coming confrontation on abortion will echo the battle over voting

The approaching legal and political showdown over abortion will reprise the key dynamics that shaped last week’s bitter Senate struggle over voting rights — and further inflame disputes between the parties over the filibuster and the role of “states’ rights” in limiting federal guarantees of civil rights and liberties. The […] Read more »

If history’s a guide, Biden ain’t getting any stronger

President Joe Biden’s weak political standing looks like cement around the feet of the Democratic majorities in Congress. And even though the 2022 midterm elections are still more than 10 months away, history tells us Biden’s job rating isn’t likely to improve and more likely will deteriorate before Election Day. […] Read more »