The New Politics of Evasion: How Ignoring Swing Voters Could Reopen the Door for Donald Trump and Threaten American Democracy

In 1989, in the wake of the Democratic Party’s third consecutive presidential defeat, we offered our thoughts for the party’s recovery and renewal. Our diagnosis was blunt. “Too many Americans,” we wrote, “have come to see the party as inattentive to their economic interests, indifferent if not hostile to their […] Read more »

NRCC Hispanic Battleground Congressional District Survey Findings

This installment of the NRCC Battleground Survey Project is a deep dive on a key target group: Hispanic voters. The survey looked at 47 battleground districts that have a sizable percentage of Hispanic voters and will determine control of Congress ahead of the 2022 midterm election. According to 2020 exit […] Read more »

How restrictions on teaching about race and sexual orientation have ‘hijacked’ parents’ concerns about Covid

The pressures of the coronavirus pandemic are reconfiguring the politics of education, dividing Democrats and creating new openings for Republicans. Both sides of that equation will be on display Tuesday in a recall election for three school board members in San Francisco, one of the nation’s most liberal cities. The […] Read more »

Democrats, Speak to Working-Class Discontent

… Today, the Democrats’ working-class problem isn’t limited to white workers. The party is also losing support from working-class Blacks and Hispanics—a daunting 12 points off their margin since 2016, according to Ruy Teixeira. Even before last November’s election, commentators and analysts were pointing to the erosion of Democrats’ working-class […] Read more »

Ranking the States Demographically, from Most Republican-Friendly to Most Democratic-Friendly

Key Points• For all 50 states, we looked at 3 variables that are increasingly linked with partisan voting patterns: education level, race, and urbanization.• When the states are rank-ordered by their composite scores on these 3 measures, the Republican-voting states for the 2020 presidential election cluster on one end of […] Read more »