Maryland’s Democratic Senate race remains very much up for grabs three weeks before the primary, with voters sharply divided along racial lines, according to a new poll from The Washington Post and the University of Maryland. … Among all likely Democratic primary voters, Edwards leads Van Hollen by a statistically […] Read more »
American Anger: It’s Not the Economy. It’s the Other Party.
… Data on the nation’s economic recovery, people’s reactions to current economic conditions and their overall sense of satisfaction with life doesn’t suggest Americans are angry. In fact, historical measures indicate people are about as happy and satisfied with the economy and with their lives as they were in 1983 […] Read more »
Trump’s many racist supporters
… Just as it’s unfair to paint all Trump backers as bigoted, it’s impossible to ignore a growing volume of public-opinion data showing that a large number of his supporters are indeed driven by racial animus. CONT. Dana Milbank, Washington Post Read more »
Edging toward an earthquake
Democracy Corps’ new poll on behalf of WVWVAF shows the country edging toward an earthquake in November. Hillary Clinton already holds a 13-point margin against Donald Trump and a 6-point lead over Ted Cruz, just a point short of Obama’s margin in 2008. But seven new findings in this survey […] Read more »
Debunking the myth that poor whites vote against their interests for Republicans
Are poor whites less likely to vote correctly in presidential elections? Their voting behavior is routinely the source of consternation in American politics, as many suspect poor whites are mistakenly voting for right-wing demagogues and on conservative social issues. Our recent research uses a ‘voting correctly’ measure to better adjudicate […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s Secret Weapon: Blue-State Voters
The Republican establishment typically has a dependable ally in the primaries: the blue-state Republicans. They’re relatively affluent, well educated, moderate and secular, which usually makes them a natural partner to offset the more populist, religious and conservative outsider candidates who often rally the party’s Southern base. But this year, blue-state […] Read more »