… New analysis by The Upshot shows that millions more white, older working-class voters went to the polls in 2012 than was found by exit polls on Election Day. This raises the prospect that Mr. Trump has a larger pool of potential voters than generally believed. The wider path may […] Read more »
How Much Will Trump Cost the Republican Party?
… The party uproar over Trump’s charge that Judge Gonzalo Curiel is biased against him because he is “Mexican” dwarfs the unease over any previous Trump comment. … Unease with demographic and cultural change has long rippled through the modern GOP agenda; it helps explain how the party has constructed […] Read more »
Nonviolence, Violence and Voting: The Effects of the 1960s Black Protest Movements on White Attitudes and Voting Behavior
Between 1963 and 1967, American public opinion and policy on issues of race whipsawed from a spike in concern about civil rights to a widespread call for “law and order.” Current scholarship points to the role of elite actors and feelings of group threat but these factors cannot adequately explain […] Read more »
Trump’s Rhetoric of White Nostalgia
The most important word in Donald Trump’s lexicon may be: “again.” The word anchors many of his signature declarations, as when he insists: “If I’m elected president, we will win again.” In a jab at the secularization of American life, he’s promised: “If I’m elected … we’re all going to […] Read more »
It’s Nativism: Explaining the Drivers of Trump’s Popular Support
… Simply put, it is all about nativism! Indeed, across all methods, the findings are incredibly consistent—those who support Trump are much more likely to hold strong nativist and anti-immigrant beliefs, controlling for other ideological and demographic variables. Most importantly, nativism is the most impactful driver of support for Trump. […] Read more »
The Anti-P.C. Vote
We know that resentment is driving much of Donald Trump’s success — resentment of elites, of the political class, of illegal immigrants, of protesters, of the media — and perhaps most particularly of changes in the demographic makeup of the country that Trump and his followers find unwelcome. Part of […] Read more »