Two-thirds of Americans say people brought to the United States as children and now residing in the country illegally should be granted legal status — and a majority are against building a wall along the border with Mexico, according to a new NPR/Ipsos poll. CONT. Domenico Montanaro, NPR Read more »
As the Super Bowl Approaches, Republicans Are Souring on the N.F.L. Again
If some viewers choose to skip the Super Bowl this year, one man you might blame – or credit – is President Trump. The 2017-18 season was one of division for the N.F.L., as it struggled with protests, lower ratings and declining support among its core fans. But how Republicans […] Read more »
Party switching – the Case for Racial Resentment
… If racial animus has the power to draw those with a high propensity of racial resentment into the Republican tent, can it then function as a wedge-issue, potentially alienating traditionally Republican voters from Republican candidates? Tests of this hypothesis are difficult, mostly because Big-N-data on resentment that would permit […] Read more »
A ‘Blue’ Florida? There Are No Quick Demographic Fixes for Democrats
Democrats could be forgiven for dreaming about a “blue” Florida. It is diversifying as fast as Texas or Arizona, and the demographic composition of its electorate may be poised to shift even faster than anticipated. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times Read more »
Trump Has Got Democrats Right Where He Wants Them
President Trump’s immigration proposal has put Democrats in a bind; they know it and he knows it. Trump’s immigration “framework” — first outlined on Jan. 25 — represents an unusually sophisticated strategy. He proposes to more than double the number of Dreamers granted a path to citizenship, a significant concession […] Read more »
The math is clear: Democrats need to win more working-class white votes
Following the noteworthy Democratic successes in the 2017 elections, we’re once again hearing that Democrats can achieve their electoral goals without any greater success among the white working class. Indeed, some on the left seem to feel that Democratic gestures toward the white working class would not only be ineffective […] Read more »